Were you ever about to do an activity that was potentially risky and thought: “Hmm, I wonder what the chances are that I die from this?” Now you can know the answer!

A micromort is a unit that represents a probability of death.

From Wikipedia:

“A micromort (from micro- and mortality) is a unit of risk defined as one-in-a-million chance of death Micromorts can be used to measure riskiness of various day-to-day activities. A microprobability is a one-in-a million chance of some event; thus a micromort is the microprobability of death. The micromort concept was introduced by Ronald A. Howard who pioneered the modern practice of decision analysis.”

<aside> 💡 Put in some other terms: 1 micromort = 1/100 of a basis point chance of death.

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Death by a Million Cuts (err I mean micromorts)

From this, we can find micromort values of different activities to compare their relative risk.

BASE jumping is 430 micromorts per jump

BASE jumping is 430 micromorts per jump

A day on the slopes is 0.7 micromorts

A day on the slopes is 0.7 micromorts

We can also add the total micromorts of separate events together to get an estimation¹ of our chance of death over a certain period (see Figure 1.1).

If i ski 5 times a year, my micromort exposure is:
0.7*5 = 3.5 micromorts per year = 3.5/365 days = 0.01 micromorts per day

Or really, it’s our excess chance of death since there is a baseline micromort exposure rate for everyone that differs by age.

From Statista, I’ve adjusted the annual death rates to find the daily micromort exposure:

Daily Micromort Exposure by Gender and Age Group

Age Group Male Female
All ages* 24.97808219 22.71232877
Under 1 year** 16.52876712 13.70958904
1-4 0.6931506849 0.5808219178
5-14 0.4164383562 0.3150684932
15-24 2.731506849 1.052054795
25-34 4.849315068 2.161643836
35-44 7.04109589 3.879452055
45-54 13.42465753 8.145205479
55-64 30.4630137 18.35068493
65-74 59.68767123 38.4109589
75-84 139.0164384 101.6684932
85 and over 389.8520548 347.0164384